Egypt national football team
International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 7pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Liberia national football team

Egypt
3 - 0
Liberia

Marmoush (38'), Abdelmonem (57'), Mahgoub (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Egypt and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Niger
Friday, September 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Liberia

Last Game: Niger 0-0 Liberia
Sunday, September 25 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawLiberia
64.27% (0.184 0.18)21.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)14.04% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 43.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)51.97% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.052 -0.05)73.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.043999999999997 0.04)15.52% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (0.077000000000005 0.08)44.44% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.91% (-0.239 -0.24)48.08% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (-0.176 -0.18)83.29% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 64.26%
    Liberia 14.04%
    Draw 21.69%
EgyptDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 12.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.26%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Egypt vs Liberia

Egypt
85.0%
Draw
15.0%
Liberia
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2021 7pm
Egypt
2-0
Liberia
Sherif (58', 67')
El Solia (61')
Nov 7, 2019 4pm
Egypt
1-0
Liberia
Fathi (84')

Jackson (33'), Doe (37'), Beniah (73'), Vaikainah (76')
Jackson (86')