/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fleslog.png)
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Fashion Sakala
37'
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Lameck Banda
53'
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Lameck Banda
57'
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Tshwarelo Bereng
33'
Zambia vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
Result
Zambia
60.73%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
22.16%
▼
(-0.18)
Lesotho
17.11%
▼
(-0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
49.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.55%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
48.45%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
29.42%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 3.5
70.58%
▼
(-0.32)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
84.5%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
15.5%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
55.6%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
44.39%
▼
(-0.47)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
58.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
41.77%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
21.77%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
78.23%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Zambia
60.72%
Draw
22.15%
Lesotho
17.11%
Zambia
1-0
@
12.06%
▼
(-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 60.72%
2-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 60.72%
Draw
1-1
@
10.53%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.15%
0-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.15%
Lesotho
0-1
@
5.65%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 17.11%
1-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 17.11%
