International Friendly

Nov 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Lawson Tama Stadium

Israel
4 - 2
Zambia

Baribo (21'), David (24'), Kabwe (89' og.), Shviro (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kangwa (55'), Bwalya (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Israel and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Zambia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mali 0-0 Zambia
Monday, September 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Zambia
52.68% ( -0.04)	27.08% ( 0.02)	20.23% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 40.92% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78% (

-0.03)

62.21% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1% (

-0.02)

81.89% (

0.02)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.03)

23.93% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.05)

58.15% (

0.04)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.79% (

0.01)

46.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.12% (

0.01)

81.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Israel 52.68%

Zambia 20.24%

Draw 27.06%

Israel	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 15.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 52.68%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 20.24%