Israel vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.