UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Israel
2 - 1
Albania

Weissman (46'), Baribo (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Uzuni (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Israel and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Israel
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Albania

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Albania 0-0 Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Albania had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Albania
41.02% ( -0.21)	26.42% ( 0.05)	32.55% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

-0.15)

52.52% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.13)

74.18% (

0.13)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.18)

25.24% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

-0.25)

59.99% (

0.25)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77% (

0.04)

30.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.04)

66.39% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Israel 41.02%

Albania 32.55%

Draw 26.42%

Israel	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.02%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.55%