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Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 29, 2025 at 7pm UK
 
Morocco national football team

Zambia
vs.
Morocco

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Zambia and Morocco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zambia
Saturday, November 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mali vs. Zambia
Monday, December 22 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco

All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Morocco 2-0 Comoros
Sunday, December 21 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Next Game: Morocco vs. Mali
Friday, December 26 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 76.68%. A draw has a probability of 15.6% and a win for Zambia has a probability of 7.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 0-2 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.36%) , while for a Zambia win it is 1-0 (3.12%).

Result
ZambiaDrawMorocco
7.72% (-0.7399 -0.74)15.6% (-0.809 -0.81)76.68% (1.549 1.55)
Both teams to score 41.03% (-0.696 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (1.066 1.07)43.15% (-1.066 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (1.045 1.04)65.55% (-1.045 -1.05)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.31% (-1.104 -1.1)54.69% (1.104 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.3% (-0.678 -0.68)87.69% (0.678 0.68)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.55% (0.655 0.66)9.45% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.26% (1.523 1.52)31.74% (-1.523 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 7.72%
    Morocco 76.68%
    Draw 15.6%
ZambiaDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 3.12% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-1 @ 2.22% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-0 @ 0.94% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 7.72%
1-1 @ 7.36% (-0.385 -0.39)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-2 @ 2.62% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 15.6%
0-2 @ 14.38% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 12.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 11.31% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.67% (0.443 0.44)
1-4 @ 4.03% (0.141 0.14)
0-5 @ 3.15% (0.292 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.118 0.12)
0-6 @ 1.24% (0.147 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 76.68%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2025 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
0-2
Morocco
> Preview
Aug 14, 2025 3pm
Group A
Morocco
3-1
Zambia
Jun 7, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-1
Zambia
Ziyech (6' pen.), Ben Seghir (67')
Chilufya (80')
Prosper Mphand (43'), Kangwa (72'), Musonda (74')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Zambia
0-1
Morocco
Ziyech (37')
Hakimi (81')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2023 1am
Friendlies 1
Morocco
P-P
Zambia