Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.82% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.16%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Zambia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.