Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 29, 2025 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Benson Sakala 29' yellowcard
  • Miguel Chaiwa 29' yellowcard
  • Kabaso Chongo 39' yellowcard
  • Kabaso Chongo 40' yellowcard
  • 55' yellowcard
  • Eliya Mandanji 55' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • David Hamansenya 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 9'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 27'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 50'
  • yellowcard Azzedine Ounahi 90'+3'

Zambia vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 5.30pm
Zambia 0 - 0 Comoros

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
Morocco 1 - 1 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.82% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.16%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Zambia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Zambia 10.62% (+2.31)
Draw 20.82% (+3.64)
Morocco 68.56% (-5.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.99% (-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.22% (-7.71)
Under 2.5 55.78% (+7.71)
Over 3.5 23.09% (-6.68)
Under 3.5 76.91% (+6.68)
Over 4.5 10.17% (-4.34)
Under 4.5 89.83% (+4.34)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 43.73% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 56.27% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 11.37% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 88.63% (-0.09)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 84.6% (-4.11)
Under 0.5 15.4% (+4.11)
Over 1.5 55.78% (-8.29)
Under 1.5 44.21% (+8.28)

Score analysis

Zambia 10.62%
Draw 20.82%
Morocco 68.55%
Zambia
1-0 @ 4.98% (+1.34)
2-1 @ 2.68% (+0.41)
2-0 @ 1.43% (+0.39)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 10.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32% (+1.37)
0-0 @ 8.67% (+2.30)
2-2 @ 2.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.82%
Morocco
0-1 @ 16.21% (+2.33)
0-2 @ 15.16% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 9.46% (-1.56)
1-2 @ 8.72% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.87)
0-4 @ 4.42% (-1.59)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.90)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.97)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.25)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 68.55%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 8, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
African Nations Championship
Aug 14, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade d'Agadir
  • Hakim Ziyech 6' goal
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 67' goal
  • yellowcard Gift Prosper Mphand 43'
  • yellowcard Kings Kangwa 72'
  • yellowcard Lubambo Musonda 74'
  • goal Edward Chilufya 80'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 24, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Laurent Pokou Stadium
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 37'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 81'
International Friendlies
Jun 19, 2023 1.00am
Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium
African Nations Championship
Jan 31, 2021 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stade de la Réunification
  • Soufiane Rahimi 1' goal
  • Mohammed Ali Bemammer 8' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 39' goal
  • redcard Z 20'
  • yellowcard Collins Sikombe 77'
  • goal Moses Phiri 80'

Build-up

Feature