Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 29, 2025 at 7pm UK

Zambia
0 - 3
Morocco

Sakala (29'), Chaiwa (29'), Chongo (39'), Chongo (40'), (55'), Mandanji (55'), (85'), Hamansenya (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

El Kaabi (9', 50'), Diaz (27')
Ounahi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zambia and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Zambia 0-3 Morocco
Monday, December 29 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Morocco

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Zambia 0-3 Morocco
Monday, December 29 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.82% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.16%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Zambia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Morocco
10.62% ( 2.31)	20.82% ( 3.63)	68.56% ( -5.94)

Both teams to score 36.99% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

-7.71)

55.78% (

7.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

-6.67)

76.91% (

6.67)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.73% (

0.15)

56.27% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.37% (

0.08)

88.63% (

-0.08)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

-4.11)

15.4% (

4.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.78% (

-8.28)

44.21% (

8.28)

Score Analysis

Zambia 10.62%

Morocco 68.55%

Draw 20.82%

Zambia	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 1.34) 2-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.39) Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.62%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( 1.37) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 2.29) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 16.21% ( 2.32) 0-2 @ 15.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.46% ( -1.55) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.87) 0-4 @ 4.42% ( -1.58) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.89) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.96) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.24) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.55) Other @ 2.44% Total : 68.55%