Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 26, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dominic Chanda 55' yellowcard
  • Jack Lahne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jack Lahne 90'+6' yellowcard

Zambia vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 2.00pm
Mali 1 - 1 Zambia

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 7.00pm
Morocco 2 - 0 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.27% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%) , while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result

Zambia 46.28% (+0.46)
Draw 28.27% (-0.04)
Comoros 25.45% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.13% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.82% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 62.17% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 18.13% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 81.86% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 7.28% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.71% (+0.05)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 73.03% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 26.97% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 37.69% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 62.31% (-0.24)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 59.06% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 40.94% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 22.5% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 77.5% (+0.40)

Score analysis

Zambia 46.27%
Draw 28.27%
Comoros 25.45%
Zambia
1-0 @ 14.46% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 9.48% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.47% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.14% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.7% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 46.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.04% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.27%
Comoros
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 25.45%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 6, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 40' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nassim Ahmed 16'
  • goal Ibrahim Madi 31'
  • yellowcard Ibroihim Youssouf 53'
  • yellowcard Haslane Alfonsi Ahmed 90'+12'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 2, 2024 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Ibroihim Youssouf 61' goal
  • Djawadi Youssouf 61' yellowcard
  • Haslane Alfonsi Ahmed 71' yellowcard
  • Affane Djambae 78' yellowcard
  • Abdallah Sadad 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathews Banda 23'
  • yellowcard Owen Mwamba 29'
  • yellowcard Owen Tembo 71'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Benjaloud Youssouf 45' goal
  • goal Patson Daka 71'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 9, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • Frederick Mulambia 51' goal
  • Albert Kangwanda 74' goal
  • goal Affane Djambae 67'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 7, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT National Heroes Stadium
  • Thandi Mwape 2' yellowcard
  • Enock Mwepu 45'+2' goal
  • Shemmy Mayembe 67' yellowcard
  • Kings Kangwa 88' goal
  • Kings Kangwa 89' yellowcard
  • goal El Fardou Ben 13'
  • yellowcard Kassim M'Dahoma 40'
  • yellowcard Younn Zahary 45'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 84'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 7, 2021 2.00pm
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium