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Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Comoros national football team

Zambia
vs.
Comoros

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Zambia and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zambia
Saturday, November 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mali vs. Zambia
Monday, December 22 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Comoros

All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Morocco 2-0 Comoros
Sunday, December 21 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zambia win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw has a probability of 28.31% and a win for Comoros has a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Comoros win it is 0-1 (9.94%).

Result
ZambiaDrawComoros
45.82% (3.799 3.8)28.31% (0.263 0.26)25.87% (-4.06 -4.06)
Both teams to score 43.35% (-3.015 -3.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.94% (-2.635 -2.64)62.06% (2.638 2.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.22% (-1.983 -1.98)81.78% (1.986 1.99)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.76299999999999 0.76)27.15% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.981 0.98)62.55% (-0.977 -0.98)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.5% (-4.811 -4.81)40.5% (4.814 4.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (-4.648 -4.65)77.1% (4.651 4.65)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 45.82%
    Comoros 25.87%
    Draw 28.3%
ZambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 14.33% (1.63 1.63)
2-0 @ 9.35% (1.235 1.24)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.612 0.61)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.223 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 10.99% (1.032 1.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.488 -0.49)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.322 -0.32)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.891 -0.89)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.796 -0.8)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 25.87%

Head to Head
Jun 6, 2025 5pm
Group Stage
Zambia
0-1
Comoros

(40'), (65'), (85')
Madi (31')
Ahmed (16'), Youssouf (53'), Alfonsi Ahmed (90+12')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Comoros
1-0
Zambia
Youssouf (61')
Youssouf (61'), Alfonsi Ahmed (71'), Djambae (78'), Sadad (90+4')

Banda (23'), Mwamba (29'), Tembo (71')
Sep 9, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Comoros
1-1
Zambia
Youssouf (45')
Daka (71')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-1
Comoros
Mulambia (51'), Kangwanda (74')
Djambae (67')
Jun 7, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-1
Comoros
Mwepu (45+2'), Kangwa (88')
Mwape (2'), Mayembe (67'), Kangwa (89')
Fardou Ben (13')
M'Dahoma (40'), Zahary (45'), Mohamed (84')
> Preview