Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 26, 2025 at 8pm UK

Morocco
vs.
Mali

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Morocco and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Last Game: Morocco 4-0 Uganda
Tuesday, November 18 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Morocco vs. Comoros
Sunday, December 21 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Mali

All competitions

Last Game: Jordan 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, November 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mali vs. Zambia
Monday, December 22 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw has a probability of 25.71% and a win for Mali has a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Mali win it is 0-1 (7.6%).

Result
Morocco	Draw	Mali
56.33% ( 0.6)	25.71% ( 0.03)	17.96% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 41.03% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.75% (

-0.81)

60.24% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.57% (

-0.62)

80.42% (

0.61)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-0.08)

21.52% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

-0.13)

54.59% (

0.13)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.28% (

-1.25)

47.71% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.98% (

-0.94)

83.02% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Morocco 56.32%

Mali 17.96%

Draw 25.7%

Morocco	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 15.77% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 56.32%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.96%