Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 26, 2025 at 8pm UK

Morocco
vs.
Mali

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Morocco 2-0 Comoros
Sunday, December 21 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Mali

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Mali 1-1 Zambia
Monday, December 22 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw has a probability of 24.61% and a win for Mali has a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Mali win it is 0-1 (6.78%).

Result
Morocco	Draw	Mali
60.8% ( -0.43)	24.61% ( 0.35)	14.59% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 37.7% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.87% (

-1)

61.13% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.91% (

-0.75)

81.09% (

0.75)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.56)

20.1% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

-0.9)

52.35% (

0.9)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.19% (

-0.49)

52.81% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.47% (

-0.32)

86.53% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Morocco 60.79%

Mali 14.59%

Draw 24.6%

Morocco	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 17.03% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 60.79%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.34% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 14.59%