friendly | Regular Season
Jan 4, 2026 at 2.30pm UK
 
Werder Bremen logo

vs.

Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Regular Season clash between St Pauli and Werder Bremen.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Mainz 0-0 St Pauli
Sunday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
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Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Pauli win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Werder Bremen has a probability of 37.11% and a draw has a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win is 1-2 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result
St PauliDrawWerder Bremen
38.45%24.43%37.11%
Both teams to score 59.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04%42.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64%65.36%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02%22.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23%56.77%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 38.45%
    Werder Bremen 37.12%
    Draw 24.42%
St PauliDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.49%
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.12%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
0-0
St Pauli
Burke (80')
Bittencourt (82'), Friedl (90')

Saliakas (63'), Metcalfe (89')
Metcalfe (90+2')
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 14
St Pauli
0-2
Werder Bremen

Sinani (62'), Smith (64')
Kohn (24'), Ducksch (54')
Stark (8'), Friedl (12'), Stage (43')
Apr 9, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 29
St Pauli
1-1
Werder Bremen
Kyereh (43')
Ziereis (84')
Fullkrug (58')
Oct 30, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
1-1
St Pauli
Ducksch (62')
Friedl (24'), Ducksch (50'), Rapp (54'), Schonfelder (88')
Ole Becker (67')
Medic (14'), Burgstaller (83')