Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Sands 25' yellowcard
  • Martijn Kaars 35' goal
  • Eric Smith 45' redcard
  • Alexander Blessin 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexander Blessin 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Martijn Kaars 53' goal
  • Arkadiusz Pyrka 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Schoppner 42'
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 64'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Kaufmann 73'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 87'

St Pauli vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 2.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 2.30pm
Heidenheim 2 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Stefan Schimmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 45.61%
Draw 25.68%
Heidenheim 28.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.71%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.02%
Under 2.5 50.98%
Over 3.5 27.15%
Under 3.5 72.85%
Over 4.5 12.75%
Under 4.5 87.25%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 77.68%
Under 0.5 22.32%
Over 1.5 44.2%
Under 1.5 55.8%

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 67.85%
Under 0.5 32.15%
Over 1.5 31.37%
Under 1.5 68.63%

Score analysis

St Pauli 45.61%
Draw 25.68%
Heidenheim 28.71%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.2%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.68%
Heidenheim
0-1 @ 8.14%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.71%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Luca Kerber 84' yellowcard
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 25'
  • yellowcard James Sands 38'
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 70'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Jackson Irvine 18' yellowcard
  • Robert Wagner 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 22'
  • goal Paul Wanner 66'
  • yellowcard Omar Traore 74'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 78'
  • goal Jan Schoppner 82'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Marcel Hartel 41'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Makienok 33' yellowcard
  • Marcel Beifus 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 67' goal
  • Nikola Vasilj 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Kuhlwetter 25'
  • yellowcard Dzenis Burnic 43'
  • yellowcard Andreas Geipl 56'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2021 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tobias Mohr 4' goal
  • Christian Kuhlwetter 38' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 68' yellowcard
  • Norman Theuerkauf 83' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 85' goal
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 55'
  • goal Max Dittgen 56'
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 60'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 67'
  • yellowcard Jakov Medic 75'
  • goal Max Dittgen 81'