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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 45.61% | 25.68% | 28.71% |
| Both teams to score 52.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% | 50.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% | 72.85% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% | 22.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% | 32.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% | 68.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.71% |