Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-0 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.