Bundesliga

Dec 7, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Hamburger SV
3-2
Werder Bremen

Sambi Lokonga (63'), Vuskovic (75'), Poulsen (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Stage (45'), Njinmah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV
Saturday, December 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Hamburger SV vs. Frankfurt
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 14 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Augsburg vs. Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.52%) and 3-1 (6.45%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Werder Bremen
52.86%	21.1%	26.04%

Both teams to score 66.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.05%

31.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.49%

53.51%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.58%

12.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.67%

38.33%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86%

24.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55%

58.45%

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 52.86%

Werder Bremen 26.04%

Draw 21.1%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 6.45% 1-0 @ 6.25% 3-2 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.54% 4-1 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.37% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.86%	1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 6.32% 0-1 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 3.12% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.11% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.04%