Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.