Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.