Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mainz Mainz 05
vs.
St Pauli

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Mainz
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Mainz vs. Samsunspor
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 30.06% and a draw has a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	St Pauli
44.19%	25.74%	30.06%

Both teams to score 53.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4%

50.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49%

72.51%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46%

56.54%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03%

30.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73%

67.26%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 44.19%

St Pauli 30.07%

Draw 25.74%

Mainz 05	Draw	St Pauli
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.07%