Bundesliga

Dec 21, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mainz Mainz 05
0-0
St Pauli

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-0 St Pauli
Sunday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-0 St Pauli
Sunday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	St Pauli
48.01% ( 1.09)	25.69% ( -0.15)	26.29% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

-0.04)

52.51% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

-0.04)

74.18% (

0.03)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

0.47)

21.88% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

0.72)

55.13% (

-0.72)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

-0.79)

34.86% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4% (

-0.85)

71.6% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 48.01%

St Pauli 26.29%

Draw 25.69%

Mainz 05	Draw	St Pauli
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.29%