/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Kaishu Sano
18'
-
Dominik Kohr
50'
-
Lee Jae-sung
67'
-
Paul Nebel
87'
-
Paul Nebel
90'+5'
-
Philipp Treu
24'
-
Siebe Van der Heyden
65'
-
David Nemeth
90'+4'
Mainz 05 vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result
Mainz 05
44.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
26.31%
▼
(-0.04)
St Pauli
29.51%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
51.21%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.85%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
53.15%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
25.28%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
74.72%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
11.54%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
88.47%
▼
(-0.08)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
76.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
23.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
41.85%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
58.15%
▼
(-0.09)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5
67.32%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
32.68%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
30.77%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
69.24%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
44.18%
Draw
26.31%
St Pauli
29.51%
Mainz 05
1-0
@
11.18%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.18%
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.18%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.31%
0-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.31%
St Pauli
0-1
@
8.75%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.51%
1-2 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.51%