Bundesliga Gameweek 19
St Pauli
Jan 26, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Union Berlin
  • Morgan Guilavogui 31' goal
  • Morgan Guilavogui 51' goal
  • Danel Sinani 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Andras Schafer 35'
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 50'
  • yellowcard Leopold Querfeld 51'

St Pauli vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 2.30pm
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result

St Pauli 39.86% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 27.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Union Berlin 33.04% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.16% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.87% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 55.13% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 3.5 23.62% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 76.38% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 10.5% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 89.51% ▼ (-0.19)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 1.5 37.56% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 1.5 62.45% ▼ (-0.42)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 68.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 31.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 32.44% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 67.56% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

St Pauli 39.86%
Draw 27.1%
Union Berlin 33.04%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.1%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Union Berlin
Aug 30, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
St Pauli
  • Benedict Hollerbach 34' goal
  • Benedict Hollerbach 76' yellowcard
  • Leopold Querfeld 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 45'+1'
DFB-Pokal
Union Berlin
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
St Pauli
  • Sheraldo Becker 45' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 64' yellowcard
  • Andreas Voglsammer 75' goal
  • Rani Khedira 78' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 21'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
St Pauli
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Union Berlin
  • Sami Allagui 4' yellowcard
  • Sami Allagui 23' goal
  • Johannes Flum 33' yellowcard
  • Alexander Meier 62' goal
  • Marvin Knoll 84' yellowcard
  • Alexander Meier 90' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Schmiedebach 12'
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 37'
  • yellowcard Christopher Lenz 60'
  • goal Grischa Promel 84'
  • goal Suleiman Abdullahi 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
St Pauli
  • Grischa Promel 44' goal
  • Akaki Gogia 45' goal
  • Sebastian Andersson 57' goal
  • Kenny Prince Redondo 76' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Andersson 88' goal
  • yellowcard Johannes Flum 31'
  • yellowcard Christopher Buchtmann 38'
  • yellowcard Cenk Sahin 64'
  • goal Henk Veerman 71'
2.Bundesliga
St Pauli
Apr 14, 2018 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Union Berlin
  • Daniel Buballa 71' yellowcard
  • Cenk Sahin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 5'
  • yellowcard Felix Kroos 45'
  • redcard Marvin Friedrich 56'
  • goal Simon Hedlund 81'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 87'
2.Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Nov 4, 2017 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
St Pauli
  • Christopher Trimmel 80' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Polter 90' goal
  • yellowcard Sami Allagui 34'

Form Data

Heidenheim 0 - 2 St Pauli
VfL Bochum 1 - 0 St Pauli
St Pauli 0 - 1 Frankfurt
Stuttgart 0 - 1 St Pauli
St Pauli 0 - 2 Werder Bremen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 St Pauli
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg
Heidenheim 2 - 0 Union Berlin
Werder Bremen 4 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 VfL Bochum
Stuttgart 3 - 2 Union Berlin