MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 01:36:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Union Berlin logo

St Pauli
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Guilavogui (31', 51'), Sinani (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schafer (35'), Benes (50'), Querfeld (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Sunday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 0-1 Union Berlin

While Union have found wins difficult to come by away from home, it is difficult to overlook St Pauli's extensive injury list. However, the visitors are unlikely to run away with proceedings on Sunday given their poor offensive record, and the hosts could have the opportunity to get back into the game should they take their chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawUnion Berlin
39.86% (0.247 0.25) 27.11% (-0.106 -0.11) 33.04% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.383 0.38)55.13% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.315 0.31)76.38% (-0.312 -0.31)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.319 0.32)27.07% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.414 0.41)62.45% (-0.41 -0.41)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.101 0.1)31.22% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.114 0.11)67.56% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 39.86%
    Union Berlin 33.04%
    Draw 27.1%
St PauliDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.04%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Union Berlin

St Pauli
31.8%
Draw
25.0%
Union Berlin
43.2%
44
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Union Berlin
1-0
St Pauli
Hollerbach (34')
Hollerbach (76'), Querfeld (90+1'), Woo-yeong (90+4')

Guilavogui (45+1')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Union Berlin
2-1
St Pauli
Becker (45'), Voglsammer (75')
Becker (64'), Khedira (78')
Kyereh (21')
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
St Pauli
3-2
Union Berlin
Allagui (23'), Meier (62', 90' pen.)
Allagui (4'), Flum (33'), Knoll (84')
Promel (84'), Abdullahi (86')
Schmiedebach (12'), Friedrich (37'), Lenz (60')
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
4-1
St Pauli
Promel (44'), Gogia (45'), Andersson (57', 88')
Prince Redondo (76')
Veerman (71')
Flum (31'), Buchtmann (38'), Sahin (64')
Apr 14, 2018 12pm
St Pauli
0-1
Union Berlin

Buballa (71'), Sahin (90')
Hedlund (81')
Friedrich (5'), Kroos (45'), Hartel (87')
Friedrich (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern21173165194654
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21137149272246
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2110653629736
5Stuttgart2110563931835
6Freiburg2110382836-833
7Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach219483331231
9Wolfsburg218674335830
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund218583736129
12Augsburg217682435-1127
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin216692027-724
14St Pauli2163121824-621
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2125141946-2711


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