Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Guilavogui (31', 51'), Sinani (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schafer (35'), Benes (50'), Querfeld (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Sunday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Union Berlin
39.86% ( 0.25)	27.11% ( -0.11)	33.04% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

0.38)

55.13% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

0.31)

76.38% (

-0.31)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.32)

27.07% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.41)

62.45% (

-0.41)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

0.1)

31.22% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

0.11)

67.56% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 39.86%

Union Berlin 33.04%

Draw 27.1%

St Pauli	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.86%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.04%