Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
0 - 2
Mainz

Pieringer (62'), Pieringer (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Burkardt (28', 28'), Weiper (49', 49')
Kohr (65'), Kohr (65'), Caci (71'), Amiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 0-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
37.61% ( 0.5)	25.25% ( -0.04)	37.14% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 56.88% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

0.2)

46.79% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95% (

0.19)

69.05% (

-0.18)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

0.36)

24.45% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11% (

0.5)

58.89% (

-0.5)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

-0.16)

24.71% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

-0.22)

59.25% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 37.61%

Mainz 05 37.14%

Draw 25.24%

Heidenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.61%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.14%