Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Voith-Arena
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 71'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 73'

Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 Heidenheim
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marvin Pieringer

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
Mainz 0 - 0 Augsburg
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result

Heidenheim 37.61% (+0.50)
Draw 25.25% (-0.05)
Mainz 05 37.14% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.88% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.21% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 46.79% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 30.95% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 69.05% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 15.33% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 84.67% (-0.13)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 75.55% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 24.45% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 41.11% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 58.89% (-0.50)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 75.29% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 24.71% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 40.75% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 59.25% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 37.61%
Draw 25.24%
Mainz 05 37.14%
Heidenheim
1-0 @ 8.51% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.99% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 37.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 37.14%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28' redcard
  • Moritz Jenz 49' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 61' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 15'
  • yellowcard Omar Traore 48'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mainka 49'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 56'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 77'
  • redcard Niklas Dorsch 80'
  • goal Jan Schoppner 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Benedikt Gimber 35' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 65' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Burkardt 69'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Tom Krauss 38' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 44' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 12'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 30'
  • yellowcard Marnon Busch 34'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 57'