Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
0 - 0
Augsburg

Jenz (8'), Weiper (34'), Leitsch (76')

Essende (43'), Zesiger (45+7'), Gouweleeuw (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
50.92% ( -0.93)	24.08% ( -0)	25% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14% (

0.85)

46.86% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

0.79)

69.11% (

-0.79)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

-0.04)

18.42% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.41% (

-0.06)

49.59% (

0.06)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

1.26)

32.89% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

1.37)

69.46% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 50.91%

Augsburg 25%

Draw 24.07%

Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.91%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25%