Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Mainz
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
Augsburg
  • Moritz Jenz 8' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 34' yellowcard
  • Maxim Leitsch 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Essende 43'
  • yellowcard Cedric Zesiger 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 88'

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2025 7.30pm
Werder Bremen 1 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 Augsburg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alexis Claude-Maurice

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Mainz 05 50.92% ▼ (-0.93)
Draw 24.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Augsburg 25% ▲ (+0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75% ▲ (+1.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.14% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 2.5 46.86% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 30.88% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 69.11% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 15.29% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 4.5 84.71% ▼ (-0.55)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 81.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 18.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 50.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 49.59% ▲ (+0.06)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 67.11% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 0.5 32.89% ▼ (-1.26)
Over 1.5 30.54% ▲ (+1.37)
Under 1.5 69.46% ▼ (-1.37)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 50.91%
Draw 24.07%
Augsburg 25%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.40)
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.07%
Augsburg
0-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Augsburg
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT WWK Arena
Mainz
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 25' goal
  • Samuel Essende 57' goal
  • Samuel Essende 70' redcard
  • Frank Onyeka 84' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Armindo Sieb 13'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 15'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 33'
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 35'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 49'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 56'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 90'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Mainz
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
Augsburg
  • Lee Jae-sung 35' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 43' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Dahmen 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+8'
  • redcard Mads Pedersen 90'+12'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Augsburg
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT WWK Arena
Mainz
  • Ermedin Demirovic 15' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 45' goal
  • Arne Engels 62' redcard
  • Niklas Dorsch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dion Beljo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 6'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 74'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mainz
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Augsburg
  • Lee Jae-sung 21' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 24' goal
  • Lee Jae-sung 52' goal
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 28'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Augsburg
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 3' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 29' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 35' goal
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 29'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 31'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Burkardt 62'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Augsburg
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 11' goal
  • Ruben Vargas 56' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 75' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 76' yellowcard
  • Robert Gumny 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 15'
  • goal Silvan Widmer 54'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 83'

Form Data

Werder Bremen 1 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 Stuttgart
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 VfL Bochum
Frankfurt 1 - 3 Mainz
Stuttgart 1 - 0 Augsburg
St Pauli 1 - 1 Augsburg
Augsburg 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Augsburg
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg
Augsburg 0 - 1 Stuttgart