Stuttgart
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Augsburg logo

Stuttgart
1 - 0
Augsburg

Undav (30')
Demirovic (68'), Keitel (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Giannoulis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawAugsburg
57.21% (0.86000000000001 0.86)21.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)21.61% (-0.774 -0.77)
Both teams to score 60.42% (-0.83 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.6% (-0.585 -0.59)37.4% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.38% (-0.633 -0.63)59.62% (0.634 0.63)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)12.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.131 0.13)39.42% (-0.13 -0.13)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-1.004 -1)30.59% (1.005 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (-1.208 -1.21)66.83% (1.208 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 57.21%
    Augsburg 21.61%
    Draw 21.18%
StuttgartDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.272 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.247 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 57.21%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.61%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Augsburg

Stuttgart
58.2%
Draw
14.8%
Augsburg
27.0%
122
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
0-1
Stuttgart

Onyeka (15'), Jakic (45+1'), Matsima (67'), Gouweleeuw (73'), Rexhbecaj (74')
Undav (65')
Chabot (67')
> Preview
May 10, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-1
Stuttgart

Demirovic (63'), Mbabu (76'), Iago (82'), Gouweleeuw (90+5')
Guirassy (48')
Anton (42'), Woo-yeong (72')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
3-0
Augsburg
Undav (18'), Guirassy (45+1'), Fuhrich (69')

Demirovic (11'), Gumny (62'), Pedersen (71'), Dorsch (81')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Augsburg
1-1
Stuttgart
Beljo (8')
Endo (78')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Stuttgart
2-1
Augsburg
Guirassy (15'), Anton (90+1')
Niederlechner (4')
> Preview