Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks 17' goal
  • Johannes Eggestein 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Giannoulis 60'
  • yellowcard Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks 70'
  • goal Mert Komur 83'
  • yellowcard Robert Gumny 90'+1'

St Pauli vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 4.30pm
St Pauli 3 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alexis Claude-Maurice

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

St Pauli 45.64% (-0.03)
Draw 25.35% (-0.04)
Augsburg 29% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.53% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 49.46% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 28.5% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 71.5% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 13.64% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 86.35% (-0.11)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 78.33% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.67% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 45.19% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 54.8% (-0.10)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 68.85% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 31.14% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 32.52% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 67.48% (-0.16)

Score analysis

St Pauli 45.64%
Draw 25.34%
Augsburg 29%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
Augsburg
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.02% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT WWK Arena
  • Samuel Essende 39' yellowcard
  • Marius Wolf 47' goal
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 58' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Giannoulis 62' yellowcard
  • Phillip Tietz 66' goal
  • Phillip Tietz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Kabadayi 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 5'
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 22'
  • goal Carlo Boukhalfa 75'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 90'
  • yellowcard Karol Mets 90'+4'