Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hamburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Augsburg logo

St Pauli
1 - 1
Augsburg

Kai Daniel Banks (17' og.)
Eggestein (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Komur (83')
Giannoulis (60'), Kai Daniel Banks (70'), Gumny (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St PauliDrawAugsburg
45.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)25.35% (-0.035 -0.04)29% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (0.178 0.18)49.46% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.159 0.16)71.5% (-0.158 -0.16)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.063000000000002 0.06)21.67% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.097000000000001 0.1)54.8% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (0.13500000000001 0.14)31.14% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (0.158 0.16)67.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 45.64%
    Augsburg 29%
    Draw 25.34%
St PauliDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Augsburg

St Pauli
52.6%
Draw
42.1%
Augsburg
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
3-1
St Pauli
Wolf (47'), Tietz (66'), Kabadayi (90+6')
Essende (39'), Rexhbecaj (58'), Giannoulis (62'), Tietz (90+4')
Boukhalfa (75')
Guilavogui (5'), Ritzka (22'), Mets (90+4'), Blessin (90')