Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Augsburg |
| 45.64% ( | 25.35% ( | 29% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( | 71.5% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( | 21.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( | 54.8% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( | 31.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Augsburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 29% |