Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • David Nemeth 63' yellowcard
  • goal Philipp Treu 88' (OG)

St Pauli vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 4.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 Heidenheim
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 51.64% (-0.48)
Draw 25.01% (+0.06)
Freiburg 23.35% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.08% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.84% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 52.16% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 26.12% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 73.87% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 12.08% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.92% (-0.09)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 79.8% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 20.19% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 47.5% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 52.5% (+0.22)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 62.75% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 37.25% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 25.96% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 74.03% (-0.47)

Score analysis

St Pauli 51.64%
Draw 25.01%
Freiburg 23.35%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 12.03% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-98.80)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 51.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.01%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 7.43% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.87% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.93% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 23.35%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Matthias Ginter 35' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kubler 44' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Elias Saad 12'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 45'
  • yellowcard Johannes Eggestein 53'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 63'
  • goal Elias Saad 72'
  • yellowcard Scott Banks 90'+5'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 19, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
ET Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Matthias Ginter 90'+3' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 119' goal
  • goal Lukas Daschner 42'