Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 15, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 1
Freiburg

Nemeth (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Treu (88' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 St Pauli
Sunday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Freiburg
51.64% ( -0.48)	25.01% ( 0.06)	23.35% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

0.16)

52.16% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

0.13)

73.87% (

-0.14)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8% (

-0.13)

20.19% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5% (

-0.21)

52.5% (

0.21)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

0.48)

37.25% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

0.47)

74.03% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 51.64%

Freiburg 23.35%

Draw 25.01%

St Pauli	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 51.64%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.35%