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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli |
44.32% (![]() | 24.02% (![]() | 31.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% (![]() | 42.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% (![]() | 64.68% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% (![]() | 19.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% (![]() | 51.04% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% (![]() | 25.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 9.13% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.09% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 62 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 56 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 45 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 45 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Freiburg | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 42 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 40 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 38 |
9 | Augsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 38 |
10 | Stuttgart | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
16 | Heidenheim | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 19 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 18 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |