Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lutsharel Geertruida 1' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 16' goal
  • Xavi Simons 35' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 66' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 69' redcard
  • yellowcard Siebe Van der Heyden 11'
  • yellowcard Adam Dzwigala 58'

RB Leipzig vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 5.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 Augsburg
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 44.32% (+0.29)
Draw 24.02% (+0.13)
St Pauli 31.65% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.91% (-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.72% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 42.28% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 35.31% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 64.68% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 18.5% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 81.5% (+0.57)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 80.7% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 19.29% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 48.96% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 51.04% (+0.30)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 74.24% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 25.76% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 39.3% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 60.7% (+0.84)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 44.32%
Draw 24.02%
St Pauli 31.65%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.18% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.73% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 44.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.97% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.02%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.74% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 31.65%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Oct 29, 2024 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Yussuf Poulsen 12' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 17' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 30' goal
  • Antonio Nusa 80' goal
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 28'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 40'
  • goal Eric Smith 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Philipp Treu 29' yellowcard
  • Elias Saad 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 24'