Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
St Pauli

Sesko (16'), Simons (35')
Geertruida (1'), Kampl (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Van der Heyden (11'), Dzwigala (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	St Pauli
44.32% ( 0.29)	24.02% ( 0.12)	31.65% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 59.91% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72% (

-0.74)

42.28% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31% (

-0.74)

64.68% (

0.74)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

-0.18)

19.29% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

-0.29)

51.04% (

0.29)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

-0.61)

25.76% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

-0.83)

60.7% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 44.32%

St Pauli 31.65%

Draw 24.02%

RB Leipzig	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.65%