Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Raum (41'), Tapsoba (85' og.)
Simons (79'), Baumgartner (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Schick (18'), Garcia (36')
Andrich (40'), Tapsoba (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
33.08% ( -3.3)	23.69% ( -0.12)	43.23% ( 3.43)

Both teams to score 61.74% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.85% (

-0.14)

40.15% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.48% (

-0.14)

62.52% (

0.15)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-1.85)

23.88% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

-2.74)

58.09% (

2.74)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

1.47)

18.89% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63% (

2.39)

50.37% (

-2.38)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 33.08%

Bayer Leverkusen 43.23%

Draw 23.68%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.46) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.47) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.25) Other @ 3.43% Total : 43.23%