Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Worthersee Stadion
  • Arjan Malic 42' goal
  • Dimitri Lavalee 52' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Saumel 64' yellowcard
  • Seedy Jatta 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 41'

Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 5.45pm
Atalanta 5 - 0 Sturm Graz

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 5.45pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 31.68% (+0.60)
Draw 22.58% (-0.10)
RB Leipzig 45.74% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.24% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.7% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 35.29% (-0.80)
Over 3.5 42.68% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 57.31% (-0.88)
Over 4.5 24.33% (+0.73)
Under 4.5 75.66% (-0.73)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 22.36% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 44.15% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 55.85% (-1.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 84.03% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 15.97% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 54.74% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 45.26% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 31.68%
Draw 22.58%
RB Leipzig 45.74%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 7.35% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 5.35% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.74% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 2.06% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.58%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 9% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 5.5% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 4.12% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.89% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 45.74%