Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.