Mainz logo
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Mainz 05 and Samsunspor.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Mainz
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-2 Istanbul
Sunday, December 14 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Samsunspor win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 37.1% and a draw has a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 1-0 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawSamsunspor
37.1%25.23%37.68%
Both teams to score 56.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3%46.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03%68.97%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31%24.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77%59.23%
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21%58.79%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 37.1%
    Samsunspor 37.68%
    Draw 25.23%
Mainz 05DrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.68%