Conference League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Silvan Widmer
44'
-
Nadiem Amiri
48'
-
Marius Mouandilmadji
9'
-
Yunus Cift
75'
-
Rick van Drongelen
84'
Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Faaa-uf-6941a9591056e541814620.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result
Mainz 05
38.29%
▲
(+1.20)
Draw
24.95%
▼
(-0.28)
Samsunspor
36.76%
▼
(-0.92)
Both Teams to Score:
57.92%
▲
(+0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.55%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 2.5
45.45%
▼
(-1.26)
Over 3.5
32.22%
▲
(+1.19)
Under 3.5
67.78%
▼
(-1.19)
Over 4.5
16.23%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 4.5
83.77%
▼
(-0.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
76.51%
▲
(+1.21)
Under 0.5
23.49%
▼
(-1.21)
Over 1.5
42.48%
▲
(+1.72)
Under 1.5
57.51%
▼
(-1.72)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5
75.7%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
24.3%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
41.32%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
58.68%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
38.29%
Draw
24.95%
Samsunspor
36.76%
Mainz 05
2-1
@
8.47%
▲
(+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-94.96)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-94.56)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.29%
1-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-94.96)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-94.56)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
▼
(-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
Samsunspor
1-2
@
8.27%
▼
(-0.12)
0-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1% ▲ (+2.61)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.76%
0-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1% ▲ (+2.61)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.76%