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Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Excelsior
Eredivisie
Dec 20, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
 
PEC Zwolle

2-1

Naujoks (20'), Yegoian (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, December 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.42% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPEC Zwolle
60.08% (0.020000000000003 0.02)20.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.67% (0.012 0.01)37.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)68.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 60.08%
    PEC Zwolle 19.5%
    Draw 20.42%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.42%
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 7pm
gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
2-1
Excelsior
Thy (8'), Garcia McNulty (18'), Velanas (66')
Garcia McNulty (80')
Duijvestijn (86')
Nieuwpoort (16'), Baas (76')
Oct 22, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 9
Excelsior
2-4
PEC Zwolle
Baas (39'), Parrott (84')
Namli (47'), Vellios (66', 81'), Thy (73')
Serrano (90+2'), van Polen (90+3')
Mar 17, 2019 3.45pm
gameweek 26
Excelsior
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Ehizibue (82'), Namli (84')
Hamer (12'), van Polen (44')
Oct 6, 2018 6.45pm
gameweek 8
PEC Zwolle
2-0
Excelsior
Van Duinen (23'), Lam (55')
Hamer (63')

Koolwijk (13'), Bruins (54'), Burnet (60')
Apr 14, 2018 7.45pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Excelsior
Mokhtar (17')
Sandler (38'), Ehizibue (55')
Van Duinen (57' pen.)
Mattheij (37'), van Duinen (84'), Hadouir (93')
rhs 2.0


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