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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.42% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 60.08% ( | 20.42% ( | 19.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( | 36.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( | 59% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( | 11.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.67% ( | 37.34% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( | 32.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( | 68.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 4-0 @ 3.27% ( 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 5-0 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 4.26% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 19.5% |