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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 38.29% ( | 25.73% ( | 35.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( | 49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( | 71.08% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( | 25.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( | 59.79% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( | 26.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.98% |