Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quick Boys win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 38.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quick Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Quick Boys would win this match.