Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2025 at 7pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Nijmegen

Lutonda (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ogawa (23')
Linssen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Willem II 4-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, December 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	NEC
31.38% ( 0.02)	23.61% ( 0.01)	45.01% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52% (

-0.07)

40.48% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

-0.07)

62.86% (

0.07)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.03)

25.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

-0.04)

59.73% (

0.03)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

-0.04)

18.28% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0.07)

49.35% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 31.38%

NEC 45.01%

Draw 23.61%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.38%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.01%