MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 07:43:04| >> :600:142507:142507:
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Ajax

RFS
1 - 0
Ajax

Marhiev (78')
Marhiev (37'), Savaļnieks (55'), Panic (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 2-1 RFS
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Rigas Futbola Skola 0-2 Ajax

RFS are bidding to keep their slim hopes of last-16 qualification alive, but they will enter Thursday's fixture as underdogs against an Ajax side hoping to strengthen their pursuit of a top-eight finish. The hosts will hope to give a good account of themselves, but we feel that the visitors will ultimately have too much for them in Latvia and should have few problems securing maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawAjax
22.11% (-3.188 -3.19) 20.99% (-0.34 -0.34) 56.89% (3.528 3.53)
Both teams to score 61.86% (-2.868 -2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (-1.996 -2)35.84% (1.996 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-2.231 -2.23)57.93% (2.231 2.23)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-3.598 -3.6)29.28% (3.598 3.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-4.65 -4.65)65.24% (4.651 4.65)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.37700000000001 0.38)12.54% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.778 0.78)38.57% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 22.11%
    Ajax 56.9%
    Draw 20.99%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.523 -0.52)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.77% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.464 -0.46)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.489 -0.49)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.11%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.354 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.293 -0.29)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.99%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.967 0.97)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.834 0.83)
1-3 @ 6.73% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.737 0.74)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-4 @ 3.49% (0.195 0.2)
0-4 @ 2.84% (0.418 0.42)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 56.9%

How you voted: RFS vs Ajax

Rigas Futbola Skola
5.9%
Draw
12.9%
Ajax
81.2%
85
rhs 2.0
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