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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
35.01% (![]() | 24.37% (![]() | 40.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% (![]() | 42.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% (![]() | 65.3% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% (![]() | 24.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% (![]() | 58.38% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% (![]() | 21.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% (![]() | 54.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 11.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 24 | 45 | 51 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Feyenoord | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 39 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
12 | Willem II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Groningen | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |