Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 19, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 2
Ajax

Jahanbakhsh (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sutalo (20'), Akpom (82')
Fitz-Jim (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Quick Boys 3-2 Heerenveen
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
35.01% ( -0.28)	24.37% ( 0.08)	40.63% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 59.81% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

-0.43)

42.9% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

-0.43)

65.3% (

0.43)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

-0.36)

24.09% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62% (

-0.51)

58.38% (

0.51)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79% (

-0.09)

21.21% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9% (

-0.14)

54.1% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 35.01%

Ajax 40.63%

Draw 24.36%

Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.63%