Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 12, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
2 - 4
Heerenveen

Mar Omarsson (19', 75')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Trenskow (7'), Jahanbakhsh (13'), Soyset Hopland (28'), Sebaoui (90+5')
Braude (1'), Conde (90+3'), Smans (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 NAC Breda
Saturday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Heerenveen
33.22% ( 0.01)	24.99% ( 0.04)	41.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.12% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.79% (

-0.19)

46.21% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

-0.18)

68.5% (

0.17)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

-0.09)

26.7% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

-0.11)

61.96% (

0.11)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0.11)

22.08% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

-0.16)

55.43% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 33.22%

Heerenveen 41.79%

Draw 24.99%

NAC Breda	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.22%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.79%