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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 15.21% ( | 19.68% ( | 65.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( | 63.5% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( | 39.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( | 76.42% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.14% ( | 11.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.85% ( | 37.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 2-1 @ 4.28% ( 2-0 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 3-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.21% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.68% | 0-2 @ 10.71% ( 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0-3 @ 7.61% ( 1-3 @ 7.03% ( 0-4 @ 4.06% ( 1-4 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-5 @ 1.73% ( 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 1-5 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.1% |