We say: Quick Boys 1-2 Heerenveen
Quick Boys' dream run faces its toughest test yet, but the hosts' momentum and home support could make this competitive.
However, Heerenveen's quality should ultimately prevail despite an expected spirited showing from the underdogs, which is why we are tipping the Super Frisians to edge it.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Quick Boys had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Quick Boys win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%).