Europa League
Jan 30, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Bertrand Traore 23' goal
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 58' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 53'
  • yellowcard Davinson Sanchez 79'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 90'+4'

Ajax vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
RFS 1 - 0 Ajax

Galatasaray

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 3.30pm
Galatasaray 3 - 3 Dynamo Kiev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 20.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result

Ajax 60.05% (-0.01)
Draw 19.72% (+0.01)
Galatasaray 20.22% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.61% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.72% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 32.28% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 46.11% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 53.89% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 27.25% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 72.74% (+0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 89.42% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 10.57% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 65.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 34.32% (+0.01)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 71.13%
Under 0.5 28.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.73% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ajax 60.05%
Draw 19.72%
Galatasaray 20.22%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.5%
5-1 @ 1.81%
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 60.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.72%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 20.22%