Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Galatasaray
35.12% ( -0.21)	23.85% ( 0.09)	41.03% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 61.73% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59% (

-0.48)

40.41% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.22% (

-0.5)

62.78% (

0.5)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.33)

22.87% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-0.49)

56.61% (

0.5)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

-0.15)

19.96% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.87% (

-0.24)

52.13% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 35.12%

Galatasaray 41.03%

Draw 23.85%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.12%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.03%