Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.