Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.