Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.