Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Brommapojkarna win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Malmo in this match.