Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 1pm UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
Galatasaray

Kayserispor
1 - 5
Galatasaray

Bahoken (14')
Bourabia (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Osimhen (4' pen., 71'), Yilmaz (29', 87'), Akgun (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor
Sunday, December 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Galatasaray

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 4-3 Trabzonspor
Monday, December 16 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.64%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 0-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawGalatasaray
21.69% (-0.316 -0.32)20.67% (-0.026 -0.03)57.64% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-0.385 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)34.84% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19% (-0.331 -0.33)56.81% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.44 -0.44)29.06% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)64.98% (0.544 0.54)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 21.69%
    Galatasaray 57.64%
    Draw 20.67%
KayserisporDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 9.14% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.84% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 2.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.64%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Galatasaray

Kayserispor
16.7%
Draw
8.3%
Galatasaray
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2024 5pm
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Galatasaray
2-1
Kayserispor
Nelsson (26'), Mertens (86' pen.)
Buruk (31'), Mertens (52')
Boa Morte (57')
Karimi (32'), Ozbek (45+4'), Sazdagi (71'), Ucar (84'), Ali Kaldirim (85'), Kocaman (88'), Civelek (90+7')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Kayserispor
0-0
Galatasaray
Ali Gezek (9'), Atan (10'), Uzodimma (42')
Yilmaz (12'), Boey (30')
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Apr 14, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
Galatasaray
6-0
Kayserispor
Icardi (18', 42' pen., 45+12'), Rashica (23'), Akturkoglu (59'), Zaniolo (71')
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Oct 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Kayserispor
2-1
Galatasaray
Gavranovic (22'), Bulut (34')
Yilmaz (86')
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Galatasaray
1-1
Kayserispor
Mohamed (85')
Marcao (90+4')
Cardoso (69')
Bayazit (90+3')
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