Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.