Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.