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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 42.96% ( | 24.25% ( | 32.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( | 42.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( | 65.34% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( | 20.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( | 52.44% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.79% |