Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Jan 25, 2025 at 8pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Valente (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Heerenveen
48.69% ( 0.09)	24.49% ( -0.02)	26.82% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.14% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.85% (

0.05)

47.14% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62% (

0.05)

69.38% (

-0.05)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

0.06)

19.42% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

0.09)

51.25% (

-0.09)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-0.02)

31.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

-0.02)

67.98% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Groningen 48.68%

Heerenveen 26.82%

Draw 24.48%

Groningen	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.68%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.82%