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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
48.69% (![]() | 24.49% (![]() | 26.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% (![]() | 47.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% (![]() | 69.38% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% (![]() | 19.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.75% (![]() | 51.25% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.42% (![]() | 31.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.02% (![]() | 67.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 10.04% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |