MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 05:38:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Euroborg
Heerenveen

Groningen
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Valente (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 1-0 Heerenveen

In a game featuring two of the lowest-scoring teams so far, we are expecting a tight and nervy contest with little goalmouth action. That said, we can see the home side narrowly coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.

Result
GroningenDrawHeerenveen
48.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 24.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)47.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)69.38% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)19.42% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.093000000000004 0.09)51.25% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.98% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 48.68%
    Heerenveen 26.82%
    Draw 24.48%
GroningenDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Groningen vs Heerenveen

Groningen
57.1%
Draw
25.0%
Heerenveen
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
2-1
Groningen
Trenskow (12'), Nicolaescu (69')
Nicolaescu (70')
Valente (9')
Vaessen (86'), Mendes (90'), Valente (90')
Peersman (63'), Darri Willumsson (82')
Mar 19, 2023 11.15am
Jan 22, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Sarr (5', 82'), Van Amersfoort (81')
Kruger (40')
Apr 10, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Van Hooijdonk (7', 53'), Van Beek (80')
Kaib (42'), Dresevic (65')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Groningen
1-1
Heerenveen
Ngonge (68')
Duarte (59'), te Wierik (70'), Buijs (90+1')
te Wierik (84')
Halilovic (19')
Madsen (45'), Halilovic (70'), Woudenberg (79'), Stevanovic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax20153243182548
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4AZ AlkmaarAZ21114636211537
5Feyenoord20106443261736
6FC Twente20105541271435
7Go Ahead Eagles209563730732
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II2165102430-623
14Heracles214982437-1321
15Groningen2156101730-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta214891929-1020
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2135132645-1914
18Almere CityAlmere City2024141143-3210


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