Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
Feyenoord

Brobbey (37'), Taylor (90+4')
Hato (42'), Regeer (83'), Taylor (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maduro (67')
In-beom (45'), Trauner (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Lille 6-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
54.29% ( 1.31)	22.11% ( -0.07)	23.6% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 59.86% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.64% (

-0.95)

39.36% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.3% (

-1)

61.7% (

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

0.1)

14.5% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49% (

0.19)

42.51% (

-0.19)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

-1.51)

29.98% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

-1.85)

66.1% (

1.85)

Score Analysis

Ajax 54.29%

Feyenoord 23.6%

Draw 22.1%

Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.29%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.6%