KNVB Beker | Round 2
Dec 17, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
 
Ajax

vs.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Excelsior Maassluis and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, October 29 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
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Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for Excelsior Maassluis has a probability of 22.2% and a draw has a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Excelsior Maassluis win is 2-1 (5.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.85%).

Result
Excelsior MaassluisDrawAjax
22.2%21.59%56.21%
Both teams to score 59.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43%38.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14%60.86%
Excelsior Maassluis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27%30.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01%66.99%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36%13.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.2%40.8%
Score Analysis
    Excelsior Maassluis 22.2%
    Ajax 56.21%
    Draw 21.59%
Excelsior MaassluisDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.81%
1-0 @ 4.94%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 22.2%
1-1 @ 9.85%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.59%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 8.32%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.25%
0-4 @ 2.75%
2-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.29%
0-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.21%