Eredivisie

Dec 20, 2025 at 7pm UK

Nijmegen NEC
2-2
Ajax

Linssen (3'), Ouaissa (46')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Dolberg (38'), Godts (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 Ajax
Saturday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 Ajax
Saturday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for NEC had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.59%) and 0-1 (5.25%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Ajax
33.05% ( 0.12)	21.62% ( 0.09)	45.33% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 69.6% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.12% (

-0.39)

29.88% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.95% (

-0.47)

51.04% (

0.46)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

-0.13)

19.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.38% (

-0.2)

50.61% (

0.2)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96% (

-0.22)

14.03% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.41% (

-0.43)

41.59% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

NEC 33.05%

Ajax 45.33%

Draw 21.62%

NEC	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 33.05%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 45.33%