/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Bryan Linssen
3'
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Bryan Linssen
11'
-
Sami Ouaissa
46'
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Sami Ouaissa
59'
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Sami Ouaissa
60'
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Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz
90'+4'
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Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz
90'+5'
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Ahmetcan Kaplan
90'+5'
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Kasper Dolberg
38'
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Mika Godts
44'
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Rayane Bounida
77'
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Mika Godts
88'
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Youri Regeer
90'+3'
NEC vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for NEC had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.59%) and 0-1 (5.25%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result
NEC
33.05%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
21.62%
▲
(+0.09)
Ajax
45.33%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
69.6%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.12%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 2.5
29.88%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 3.5
48.95%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 3.5
51.04%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 4.5
29.78%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 4.5
70.21%
▲
(+0.43)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
80.96%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
19.04%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
49.38%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
50.61%
▲
(+0.21)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
85.96%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
14.03%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
58.41%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
41.59%
▲
(+0.43)
Score analysis
NEC
33.05%
Draw
21.62%
Ajax
45.33%
NEC
2-1
@
7.22%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 33.05%
1-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 33.05%
Draw
1-1
@
8.7%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.62%
2-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.62%
Ajax
1-2
@
8.54%
▲
(+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 45.33%
1-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 45.33%