Conference League
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Godswill Ekpolo 78' yellowcard
  • Karol Angielski 83' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksander Trumci 42'
  • yellowcard Besart Ibraimi 53'
  • redcard Liridon Latifi 53'

AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Hacken 1 - 1 Larnaca

Shkendija

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Shkendija 2 - 0 Slovan Bratislava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 0-1 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

AEK Larnaca 49.72% (+0.29)
Draw 24.35% (-0.10)
Shkendija 25.93% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.74% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 47.26% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 30.51% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 69.49% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 15.03% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 84.97% (-0.18)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 80.95% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 19.05% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 49.36% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 50.64% (-0.37)

Shkendija Goals

Over 0.5 67.66% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.85% (+0.01)

Score analysis

AEK Larnaca 49.71%
Draw 24.35%
Shkendija 25.93%
AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.68% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.94% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 49.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.35%
Shkendija
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.93%