Conference League | League Stage
Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
 

LarnacaAEK Larnaca
vs.
ShkendijaShkendija

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between AEK Larnaca and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Hacken 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shkendija

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shkendija 2-0 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Shkendija has a probability of 26.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Larnaca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Shkendija win is 0-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.58%).

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawShkendija
49.43% (0.60299999999999 0.6)24.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)26.12% (-0.583 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (-0.374 -0.37)47.54% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (-0.344 -0.34)69.74% (0.351 0.35)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (0.10000000000001 0.1)19.27% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (0.159 0.16)51.01% (-0.154 -0.15)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (-0.657 -0.66)32.34% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (-0.749 -0.75)68.85% (0.755 0.75)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 49.43%
    Shkendija 26.12%
    Draw 24.45%
AEK LarnacaDrawShkendija
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 49.43%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 26.12%