Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 0-1 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.