Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 21.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (5.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.