Galatasaray
Turkish Cup
Dec 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Istanbul Basaksehir

vs.

Coverage of the Turkish Cup Group Stage clash between Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-4 Galatasaray
Saturday, December 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
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Last Game: Samsunspor 0-2 Istanbul
Sunday, December 14 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir has a probability of 21.42% and a draw has a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win is 1-2 (5.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.5%).

Result
GalatasarayDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
57.53%21.04%21.42%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63%37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.81%59.19%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27%12.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.04%38.96%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.75%
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 57.53%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 21.42%
    Draw 21.05%
GalatasarayDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 6.73%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.47%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 3.89%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-1 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.42%

Head to Head
May 30, 2025 6pm
gameweek 38
Galatasaray
2-0
Istanbul
Mertens (17' pen.), Osimhen (81')
Osimhen (45+2'), Frankowski (50')

Ba (28')
Jan 12, 2025 4pm
gameweek 19
Istanbul
1-2
Galatasaray
Piatek (53')
Opoku (13'), Gureler (37'), Paulin Keny (45'), Piatek (74')
Yilmaz (42', 59')
Buruk (14'), Akgun (16'), Ayhan (21'), Torreira (31'), Sallai (79')
Feb 10, 2024 4pm
gameweek 25
Galatasaray
2-0
Istanbul
Yilmaz (25'), Mertens (31')
Mertens (1'), Yilmaz (83')

Souza (36'), Lima (90+2')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
gameweek 6
Istanbul
1-2
Galatasaray
Dubois (64')
Dennis (12'), Ozcan (19'), Lima (31')
Ziyech (43'), Icardi (50' pen.)
Oliveira (33'), Demirbay (82')